A recent Sylvera report highlights a growing trend among carbon credit buyers: a willingness to pay higher prices for projects with strong environmental impacts. This shift comes as the voluntary carbon market addresses credibility concerns that have caused hesitation among some participants.
The State of Carbon Credits Report for 2024 reveals that while overall carbon credit purchases rose slightly—just 0.2% compared to 2023—the market has largely levelled off since its rapid growth in the late 2010s. Despite this stagnation, retirements of high-credibility credits rated BB or higher surged by 25%, rising from 33.4 million in 2023 to 41.7 million in 2024.
Conversely, retirements of low-rated credits (D-rated) dropped by more than half, signalling a growing preference for reliable and robust projects. Buyers are increasingly steering clear of initiatives with risks such as overcrediting, double counting, or lack of permanence, according to Sylvera’s CEO, Allister Furey.
Furey noted that companies are now more selective, screening out projects with higher risks and opting for higher-quality options. Buyers are also demonstrating a readiness to pay a premium, with costs increasing by $5 per rating band. For instance, top-rated credits (AA) can cost up to $35 more than the lowest-rated ones, underscoring a focus on quality over affordability.
Although the market remains fragmented, with some buyers overpaying for credits, upcoming regulatory frameworks—such as Article 6.4 of the Paris Agreement and aviation-specific initiatives like CORSIA—are expected to drive further competition for premium-quality credits. Sylvera anticipates that this increasing demand will solidify the shift toward credible projects, shaping the market’s future trajectory.